Most Saudi areas to obtain higher-than-average rainfall this fall

by ADeeL

Saudi Gazette report

RIYADH — The Nationwide Middle of Meteorology (NCM) expects that almost all areas of Saudi Arabia will witness rainfall greater than common by 50-60% in the course of the fall season.

This has been revealed in NCM’s climate forecast for fall 2023.

The possibility of rain is 50% to 60% greater than common in the course of the fall, which is able to embrace the months of September, October and November. The areas of Al-Sharqiyah, the Northern Borders, Al-Qassim, Hail, Al-Jouf, Tabuk, Madinah and elements of the Riyadh and Makkah areas will possible obtain plentiful rain.

The upper-than-average rainfall in these areas will happen particularly in October and November, NCM mentioned.

Whereas the rainfall charge can be round common in the remainder of the Kingdom’s areas, the report indicated, clarifying that the rainfall in September can be 40% lower than its common within the Jazan area and elements of the Najran area.

The report forecasts excessive and really extreme instances of heavy rains in Saudi Arabia however explains that such instances don’t seem within the long-term local weather fashions and will be predicted by means of short-term forecasts issued by the NCM.

It cited instances of extreme rainfall (excessive to very excessive) in Saudi Arabia between 1985 and 2022, noting that the years 1997 and 2018 have been the years probably the most uncovered to extraordinarily moist climate. Through the historic peak for fall rain, the yr 1997 witnessed 21 cases of heavy rain whereas 2018 witnessed 17 cases.

As for the very excessive instances, 2018 is the yr that witnessed the very best variety of instances, adopted by the years 5 instances in 1997 and three in 2000.

NCM mentioned since 2007 the variety of recurrences of utmost instances of rain has elevated, however there isn’t any distinction in very excessive instances.

As for floor temperature forecasts in the course of the fall season, NCM mentioned that the forecasts point out that it’s going to rise with a excessive chance of as much as 80% in all areas of the Kingdom, the place will probably be greater than the common by two levels within the Riyadh and Najran areas, whereas it reaches a level and a half greater in most areas of Saudi Arabia.

It’s noteworthy that this yr’s summer time season will finish astronomically on Friday, September 22, in response to the Nationwide Middle of Meteorology.

Hussain Al-Qahtani, spokesman of NCM, advised Okaz/Saudi Gazette that temperatures would fall steadily over the approaching days in most areas of the Kingdom and the autumn season, which is about to start after 24 days, can be a wet season throughout this yr.

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